The NFL season is finally here! I’ve got entirely too many plays going tonight and Week 1 in general, but YOLO.
Irad told me to STFU in yesterday’s featured race, taking the Meadow Stable Stakes with Boldor after I wrote yesterday that I didn’t feel they had a shot on top. My only solace was that boxing my top four picks in a trifecta paid $299.55. So also, thank you, Irad.
They’re racing today at Kentucky Downs! You can access free DRF Formulator PPs for the feature race here. Today’s analysis was done post-scratches.
Kentucky Downs Race 9 • Global Tote Juvenile Sprint Stakes (Non-graded) • 2YO • 5:57 EST A solid group here, with everyone trying something new, whether it be distance, blinkers, or a jockey change. 2 Sharp Aza Tack goes for trainer Doug O’Neill and gets the aforementioned Irad Ortiz, Jr. in the mount. This horse is 2-for-2 lifetime and boasts a top Beyer 19 points higher than second-best in the field. He’s a threat to jump out front and wire the field. If 1 Bourbon Therapy sends and presses the early pace, it may leave an opening for the late speed of 5 Private Creed to get the jump on the leaders down the stretch. Most likely scenario is that Sharp Aza Tack kicks on, Bourbon Therapy fades, and Private Creed completes the exacta.
Picks: 2-5-7-1
Yesterday I promised to share my play for tonight’s TNF season kickoff where the Rams host the Bills. Turns out, I’ve got that and a whole lot more for the first week of the season on top of what I already gave out.
NFL WEEK 1
LA Rams +2.5 vs. Buffalo 8:20 EST Still available. I used a free promo bet on this.
LA Rams +8.5/Indianapolis -1 2-team teaser
As far as tonight’s game goes, I also sprinkled a little on the following player props: Cam Akers Over 43.5 rushing yards and to score a touchdown, Stefon Diggs to score a touchdown, and Dawson Knox Over 35.5 receiving yards.
San Francisco -9.5 +120 at Chicago 9/11/22 1:00 EST Alternate line play. I like the Niners by double-digits here.
Pittsburgh at Cincinnati Under 44 -110 1:00 EST You can get 44.5 at some books today.
Although I’m not too much of a totals guy this early in the season, I’m also interested in the Tampa Bay/Dallas Under 51 and might get on that sometime today or tomorrow.
Best of luck!