I was reminded yesterday that there is no turf racing at Churchill Downs’ fall meet. WHICH MEANS the turf racing on the NYRA circuit should be top-drawer. (Now I sound like my grandfather.) Today’s Maiden Special Weight is on Aqueduct’s turf course.
You can access free DRF Formulator PPs for today’s feature race here. Analysis and picks done post-scratches.
Belmont at The Big A Race 4 • Maiden Special W • Fillies & Mares 3YO+ • 2:31 EST Here we go again. I’m going to tell you why I don’t like Irad’s mount, 1 Sixth Street. She hasn’t been in the greatest form since making the switch from synthetic to turf. 4 Expand the Map, the 6-5 morning line favorite from Chad Brown’s barn, goes second off the bench and cuts back today. What concerns me is that the 8 and 8.5 furlong races in both her career starts should’ve been her preferred distances. That doesn’t mean she won’t fare well going 6 furlongs today; I just don’t want to bet her at a short price. 6 Glitter Up projects to be on the lead and might fit. Two prior starts on the track she’s had the lead and finished second, both times passed down the stretch. I’m going to make 2 Diamond Status (10-1 morning line) my pick here. Sure, she’s jumping up in class here, but not by a leap, and she should be forwardly placed in this group. If she fires under jockey Jose Ortiz, she could take this one by open lengths.
Picks: 2-6-4-1
College Football Week 3 and NFL Week 2
This is my portfolio for this week’s games. All NFL bets except Buffalo were bet earlier in the week. Notre Dame and Houston CFB were bet this morning. As you will see, my biggest holding is Houston laying points at home against Kansas. I believe the line on that game is an overreaction to the Jayhawks beating a suspect West Virginia team last weekend on the road.
Notre Dame -11 -110 vs. California 9/17 2:30 EST Bet at DraftKings
Tulane +15 -115 at Kansas State 9/17 3:00 EST Bet at DraftKings
Houston -10 -110 vs. Kansas 9/17 4:00 EST Bet at BetMGM midweek
Houston -8.5 -110 vs. Kansas 9/17 4:00 EST Bet at BetMGM Friday
Detroit -1.5 -110 vs. Washington 9/18 1:00 EST Bet at DraftKings
Baltimore -3.5 -105 vs. Miami 9/18 1:00 EST Bet at DraftKings
New Orleans +3 -120 vs. Tampa Bay 9/18 1:00 EST Bet at DraftKings
LA Rams -10 -110 vs. Atlanta 9/18 4:05 EST Bet at DraftKings
Buffalo -9.5 -112 vs. Tennessee 9/19 7:16 EST Bet at FanDuel Friday
Best of luck!